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Individual high-end goods market tops a quarter trillion euros globally, but flatlines in the center east as tourist reductions

Dubai - November 16, 2015-- The general high-end market-- which as tracked by Bain & Company makes up 10 sectors, led by luxury automobiles, luxury hospitality and individual high-end items accounting for 80 percent of the total market-- surpassed EUR1 trillion in retail sales value in 2015. The market provided healthy growth of 5 percent year-over-year (at consistent exchange rates), driven mainly by high-end automobiles (8 percent), luxury hospitality (7 percent) and great arts (6 percent). These are crucial findings from Bain in the14th edition of its "Luxury Goods Worldwide Market Monitor," released just recently in Milan in partnership with Fondazione Altagamma, the Italian high-end items producers market foundation.

The personal high-end goods market-- consisting of leather accessories, fashion, difficult luxury and scent & cosmetics-- reached EUR253 billion in 2015. This represents 13 percent growth at current exchange rates, while genuine development is significantly slowing to 1-2 percent.

"For the last a number of years, we've referenced 'high-end's brand-new normal' with a deceleration of the individual high-end items market. Now, we are starting to feel the effect of that slow-down," stated Claudia D'Arpizio, a Bain partner in Milan and lead author of the research. "The difficulty for high-end brands in this environment is ways to effectively browse through hard-to-predict volatility.".

Regional Trends: The Great Mall of China.
According to Bain's research, Chinese consumers remain to comprise the largest portion of luxury purchases (31 percent) worldwide, followed carefully by Americans (24 percent) and Europeans (18 percent).

Chinese customers are gathering to mature markets in droves, specifically Europe, where an analysis of European tax-free buying information, carried out in collaboration with Global Blue, reveals Chinese tax-free purchases increased by 64 percent, especially amongst the accessible and aspirational luxury sectors, thanks to a weak Euro. Americans likewise increased their tax-free spending in Europe by 67 percent, intended largely at the high end of the luxury spectrum. On the other hand, Russians cut their European spending by 37 percent, and spending amongst the Japanese in Europe likewise withered by 16 percent.

"Undoubtedly, Chinese customers play a primary function in the development of high-end spending worldwide," stated Federica Levato, principal at Bain and co-author of the study. "For years, we have actually known that they spend much more abroad than in Mainland China, but exactly what's altering is that they're spending little money in historically popular locations, such as Hong Kong and Macau, and are instead gravitating to new areas, such as Europe, South Korea or Japan, to gain from currency fluctuations that drive favorable price spaces.".

After a few years of active development, the Middle East personal luxury products market plateaued in 2015. This deceleration has mostly been driven by a reduction of tourist spend notably in the UAE, while domestic market stays strong. Category wise, fashion jewelry has kept to exceed the other personal luxury products.

"Going forward, we expect the Middle East market to show new indications of life driven by shopping mall openings, however the region's development will occur at a much slower level versus the last five years. A sustainable high single number growth rate will end up being a brand-new typical for the marketplace with important implications of the needed capabilities for success," stated Cyrille Fabre, Partner and head of Bain's Retail and Consumer Products practices in the Middle East.

In terms of continuous exchange rates, the united state market did not deliver. The "incredibly dollar" was too costly for numerous global tourists and though local usage is growing, it was barely adequate to offset the lost tourism earnings. Nevertheless, the U.S. is the confirmed largest high-end market in regards to worldwide luxury value, reaching EUR79 billion; New York City alone surpassed all Japan.

Japan has actually shown to be a constant champion in both real and small terms, driven by a sound base of local consumers and the development of Chinese consumers aiming to profit from currency variations.

The personal high-end goods market in Hong Kong and Macau has actually fallen victim to a variety of federal government steps aimed at regulating the grey market in China, developing a 25 percent contraction in actual terms.

While local spending in China remained to somewhat contract, the appreciation of the local currency has boosted the country to the number three area in regards to worldwide luxury value, overtaking Italy and France and trailing only the U.S. and Japan.

Circulation trends.
Wholesale is still the leading selling channel within the personal luxury goods market, catching 66 percent of market share. Retail continues to acquire share, regardless of a stagnation in network expansion (+600 directly operated shops opened internationally in 2015 vs. 750 in 2014) and growth in like-for-like sales (+13 percent at existing exchange rates).

Simultaneously, e-commerce grew to 7 percent market share in 2015, nearly doubling its penetration given that 2012. Luxury globe-trotters have actually likewise sustained the efficiency of airport retail, which posted a +29 percent development rate in current exchange rates (+18 percent in continuous currency exchange rate) and now represents 6 percent of the international high-end market.

With the growing middle class in economies such as China looking for good quality and great value, the off-price channel has more than doubled to nearly EUR26 billion. Mark-downs are also increasing in occurrance throughout more than 35 percent of the high-end market, with a strong relevance in department and specialty stores, along with online.

The Price of Luxury.
According to Bain, the primary challenge facing most luxury brands is developing the best rates design. The rise of e-commerce and worldwide tourist growth develop higher openness around worldwide cost differentials. Furthermore, price-conscious high-end consumers are having a hard time to fix up the rate of luxury items with their real value. As an outcome, high-end brands should assess the best ways to mitigate volatility and how best to provide at local and international levels. This includes managing stock to accommodate variations in tourist and coordinating rates and mark-downs throughout markets and channels. Luxury brands likewise deal with a host of difficult issues such as reassessing their store footprint and the role of their stores in a world of growing digitalization, along with figuring out how to thrill regional customers even as masses of tourists flock to shops in fully grown markets.

"Relentless price increases over the last decade, targeted at creating a more unique position in the market and maximizing touristic circulations are now beginning to backfire on luxury brands," stated D'Arpizio. "They face the long-term obstacle of re-building reliability and trust amongst consumers, rather than simply making shortsighted, tactical rates modifications to take advantage of market variations.".

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