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Cisco Predicts Middle East & Africa to have Highest Growth in IP Traffic Worldwide

According to the 11th yearly Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Complete Forecast for 2015 to 2020, worldwide IP traffic will nearly triple at a compound yearly growth rate (CAGR) of 22 percent over the next 5 years. The Middle East and Africa (MEA) area will see a 6-fold development in IP traffic, which is the highest at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41 percent by 2020.

The international digitization transformation, based upon the adoption of individual gadgets and deployment of machine-to-machine (M2M) connections will have an even higher impact on traffic growth. Over the next 5 years, international IP networks will support up to 10 billion new devices and connections, increasing from 16.3 billion in 2015 to 26.3 billion by 2020. There are forecasted to be 3.4 gadgets and connections per capita by 2020-- up from 2.2 per capita in 2015.

" One of the most considerable changes of the next few years will be the dramatic boost in worldwide connection via the Internet. Possibly no place is this more obvious than throughout the Middle East and Africa where we are taking a look at the highest growth rate on the planet with 2.4 billion brand-new devices and connections to be added by 2020," said Mike Weston, Vice President, Cisco Middle East. "The rapid increase in linked gadgets and IP traffic will develop brand-new chances that occur from digitization, providing benefits such as decreased costs, enhanced effectiveness and enhancement in the lives of residents.".

Video services and content continue to be the dominant leader compared with all other applications. Web video will account for 79 percent of worldwide Internet traffic by 2020-- up from 63 percent in 2015. The world will reach three trillion Internet video minutes monthly by 2020, which is five million years of video each month, or about one million video minutes every second. HD and Ultra HD Internet video will comprise 82 percent of Internet video traffic by 2020-- up from 53 percent in 2015.

In Middle East and Africa, Internet video traffic will grow 8-fold from 2015 to 2020, a compound yearly growth rate of 52%. This implies that for MEA 169 billion minutes (321,793 years) of video material will cross the Internet monthly in 2020. That's 64,359 minutes of video streamed or downloaded every second.
Worldwide, M2M connections are calculated to grow nearly three-fold from 4.9 billion in 2015 to 12.2 billion by 2020, representing almost half (46 percent) of total linked devices. The linked health customer segment will have the fastest growth (five-fold) of M2M connections from 2015 (144 million) to 2020 (729 million).

With the growing reliance on mobile and fixed broadband networks, security issues are progressively ending up being top of mind for service providers, governments, companies and consumers. For the very first time in this projection, Cisco collaborated with Arbor Networks to help measure the existing and future threats of DDoS (Distributed Denial of Service) attacks. The brand-new DDoS analysis recommends that these kinds of breaches can represent up to 10 percent of a country's total Internet traffic while they are occurring. Over the next five years, DDoS attacks are predicted to enhance from 6.6 million to 17 million attacks. These initial findings highlight the requirement for more detailed security measures to safeguard data and reduce network direct exposure to such threats.

The 11th annual Cisco VNI MEA trends:
IP traffic will grow 6-fold from 2015 to 2020, a CAGR of 41 percent, the highest globally
Internet traffic in 2020 will be equivalent to 527x the volume of the entire Internet in the region in 2005
Mobile data traffic will grow 15-fold from 2015 to 2020, a CAGR of 71 percent, meaning 2 times faster growth than fixed IP traffic
Mobile will be 40 percent of total IP traffic in 2020
IP video traffic will grow 8-fold from 2015 to 2020, a CAGR of 52 percent
Total Internet video traffic (business and consumer, combined) will be 79 percent of all Internet traffic in 2020, up from 59 percent in 2015. Approx. 39 percent of internet video traffic will be HD and 3 percent will be ultra HD
Internet gaming traffic will grow 8-fold and will be 2 percent of consumer internet traffic in 2020
By 2020, there will be approximately 1.5 networked devices per capita, 77 percent of which will be mobile-connected. M2M modules will account for 22 percent of all networked devices
By 2020, 21 percent of IP traffic will be generated by PCs (vs 67 percent in 2015), 4 percent by TVs, 60 percent by smartphones (up from 20 percent in 2015), 12 percent by tablets, 2.4 percent by M2M modules.
Average fixed broadband speed will grow 2.4 -fold from 2015 to 2020, from 7 Mbps to 16.5 Mbps. Average mobile connection speed will grow 6-fold and will reach 5 Mbps by 2020. Between 2014-2015, average fixed broadband speed grew 15%.

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